Andrey Chepelev vs Mathieu Scaglia Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Analyzing recent second serve statistics, Scaglia wins 41.69% of points while Chepelev wins 42.08%. Is Chepelev slightly stronger in this aspect? Yes, but the difference is marginal.
• When evaluating return game prowess, Scaglia edges out Chepelev on second serve returns with 47.97% success against 47.88%, but Chepelev leads in first serve returns with 31.4% compared to Scaglia's 27.77%.
• Both players show similar resilience under pressure, with Scaglia saving 50.41% of breakpoints compared to Chepelev's 50.27%.
• Across the past year, Scaglia has a slightly higher overall win rate at 58.33% compared to Chepelev’s 57.95%. Does this indicate a consistent performance advantage for Scaglia? Slightly yes.
• Considering their best playing surfaces, Scaglia excels on Hard courts with a 58% win rate, whereas Chepelev shines on Clay with a 61% win rate.
• Both players have primarily competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events over the past year with similar winning records, making this a fairly even contest at this level.
• Scaglia has faced opponents with an average rank of 283.06, indicating slightly tougher competition compared to Chepelev's opponents averaging a rank of 444.74.
• In matches that go to a deciding set, Chepelev has a strong record, winning 57% compared to Scaglia's 38% success rate.
• Recent breakpoint conversion rates reveal Scaglia’s efficiency with 41.07% of opportunities converted, overshadowing Chepelev's 32.81% rate.

Editorial Prediction (August 21, 2025, UTC):

In this upcoming match, the subtle differences in performance patterns between Scaglia and Chepelev are essential for making an informed prediction. Both athletes have demonstrated slight edges in different statistical areas, suggesting a closely contested match.

Scaglia showcases a slight lead in overall win percentage for the past year, coupled with competent second serve return abilities. His impressive breakpoint conversion efficiency may provide him the upper hand during crucial points.

Chepelev, however, exhibits stronger first serve return efficiency and a better record in deciding sets, factors that could be pivotal if the match extends in length. Although Scaglia faced tougher opponents on average, Chepelev's strengths on crucial points might influence the outcome if leveraged effectively.

Given the nuanced competitive landscape, the prediction slightly favors Scaglia, particularly due to his stronger performance against higher-ranked opponents and his superior breakpoint conversion rate. Nonetheless, expect a tightly fought match that could sway in Chepelev's favor if it goes the distance.